The grid your load forecast shows isn’t the grid your customers are building.
Rooftop solar, behind-the-meter storage, and demand response are reshaping load on your distribution feeders — reducing gross demand in some places, shifting it in others, creating two-way flows. LoadSEER models DER adoption at the parcel and circuit level so planners can see net load, not just gross load growth.
LoadSEER Scenario Analysis (Compute) tab · circuit-level DER forecast showing hourly, monthly peaks, and seasonal peak/min
Why DER forecasting must be done at circuit level
System-level DER forecasts can show aggregate solar adoption that looks manageable while masking significant locational variation. A service territory with 20% rooftop solar penetration may have specific feeders approaching 60% penetration — with reversed power flow and voltage regulation challenges — while adjacent feeders have minimal DER adoption. Only circuit-level DER forecasting reveals this variation.
What LoadSEER delivers
Parcel-level DER adoption modeling
Models rooftop solar and storage adoption at the individual parcel level using economic drivers, income, housing type, and solar irradiance.
Geospatial forecasting →Net load forecasting at circuit resolution
Combines DER adoption forecasts with gross load projections to produce net load forecasts at circuit and substation level.
Circuit-level forecasting →Multi-scenario DER analysis
Reference, moderate, and high DER adoption scenarios simultaneously.
Multi-scenario analysis →Demand response program modeling
Models DR enrollment and dispatch at circuit level — quantifying achievable load reduction for NWA evaluation.
DSMore option value →DER and EV combined
Integrates EV charging forecasts with solar, storage, and DR to produce a single net load projection.
EV load forecasting →Regulatory documentation
Auditable DER adoption assumptions and net load outputs meeting documentation standards for IDP filings.
IDP regulatory support →More from LoadSEER
EV load forecasting
Circuit-level EV forecasts alongside DERs in a unified net load framework.
IDP support
DER forecasting is a core component of the IDP workflow LoadSEER supports.
Geospatial load forecasting
The spatial methodology making parcel-level DER adoption modeling possible.
DSMore
Option value quantification and locational DSM valuation.
See DER forecasting at circuit level
Schedule a demo and walk through a scenario for your service territory.
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